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Recession Fears Mount In America

October 3. 2019

Wall Street in New York

This is another follow up to the October 17, 2017 article "Tax Cuts For The Rich In America Is A Bad Idea At This Time" where I warned it would damage the economy. Over the past few weeks, financial analysts in America have been expressing concern that a recession is hitting the U.S. economy.

U.S. manufacturing has contracted for the first time in 3-years, which has impacted the stock market. The trade war with China, which I also advised against over a year ago, but was rebooted by the government, is hitting the bottomline of American businesses, as they are losing profits to increased, retaliatory tariffs (President Donald Trump Calls Truce On Trade War With China).

Another gauge of economic trouble is the real estate market. New York real estate sales prices have gone down by 17% this year, indicating U.S. economic distress. New York is known for setting sales records. Therefore, any decline indicates the economy is regressing. This is what I was warning against in my 2017 article (Tax Cuts For The Rich In America Is A Bad Idea At This Time).

Garrett Derderian, a managing director and market analyst from the company CORE stated recently, "Market prices have gone from what was once described as the kindest, gentlest correction to a near free fall,' Derderian added. 'The last time conditions were described in such a way was in the height of the recession."

STORY SOURCE

U.S. Manufacturing Gauge Contracts for First Time in Three Years

September 3, 2019 - (Bloomberg) -- A key U.S. factory gauge unexpectedly contracted for the first time since 2016, sending stocks and bond yields lower and boosting expectations for interest-rate cuts as global manufacturing woes deepen. The Institute for Supply Management’s purchasing managers index fell to 49.1 in August, weaker than all forecasts in a Bloomberg survey of economists, data released Tuesday showed. Figures below 50 indicate the manufacturing economy is generally shrinking. The group’s gauge of new orders dropped to a more than seven-year low, while the production index hit the lowest since late 2015...

https://finance.yahoo.com

The median price for a Manhattan property sale was $999,950 in the third quarter, according to data (above) released by New York real estate brokerage CORE on Tuesday

The third quarter median price of an apartment sale in Manhattan was 17 percent lower from the same period a year ago, as the chart prepared by brokerage CORE above shows . The sales of condominium units dropped 8 per cent to 946 transactions. Only cooperative, or coop apartments saw a small increase of 2 percent from a year ago.

'The third quarter of 2019 was undoubtedly the most challenging quarter in recent memory, especially for condo sales,' Garrett Derderian, managing director of market analysis at CORE, said in a statement, reports Fox. 'Market prices have gone from what was once described as the kindest, gentlest correction to a near free fall,' Derderian added. 'The last time conditions were described in such a way was in the height of the recession.'...

https://www.dailymail.co.uk

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